CodeForPhilly / CodeForPhilly/chime

Chime model & curve behavior

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models question
Langage dominant
Python
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Description

Hello, I am working directly with a hospital from Porto, Portugal. I have been using this amazing tool to simulate the number of UCI which is very important for us. However, I am having some trouble trying to understand a few things.

- First this social interaction reduction. Here, we have to reduce this for almost fifteen days. If I use the current day, it will assume that these changes start now, which is not what's happening. What is the best approach here? Use a different starting day, i.e, the day where the measures kicked in and see how the curve behaves until the current day and afterward?
- The second question is how the curve behaves after that. I can see it goes down for the length of hospital stay that you define and then it goes up indefinitely. Is this the right behavior? It is not easy to explain this phenomenon to someone that will actually use this tool. I would think that it followed a logistic curve and reach the plateau phase in the future or something like that.
- Third, is it possible to use a model implemented by me and then use the tool to calculate the ICU and Ventilation based on my infected case fit?

Congratulations on this amazing tool and for your effort to serve the community in these hard times. I believe you are making an impact and that's a wonderful thing to see. I hope I can keep using it and improve our methodology 😃

My curve:
![imagem](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/7799750/78281362-715cf500-7512-11ea-85b8-2d7618c0419a.png)

Guide de contribution

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Piste de recherche

Aucun fichier source, test ou point d’entrée n’est identifié. Commencez par localiser les calculs de réduction des interactions sociales et des courbes ICU/ventilation, puis reproduisez la chronologie indiquée et le comportement après le séjour hospitalier. Une résolution utile devrait répondre à ces questions de modélisation et déterminer si des modèles ajustés personnalisés sont pris en charge, avec un périmètre concret pour toute implémentation.

Rédigé par le modèle d'indexation à partir du texte de l'issue.

Évaluation

Domaine
data
Type d'issue
Fonctionnalité
Difficulté
5/5
Temps estimé
Plus d'une semaine
Activité
À l'abandon
Clarté
À clarifier
Accessibilité débutants
25/100

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