CodeForPhilly / CodeForPhilly/chime

Allow user to specify R0 (in lieu of doubling time)

Open
#18 4 comments 0 reactions 0 assignees View on GitHub
enhancement hospital-request python wontfix
Dominant language
Python
Stars
210
Forks
153
PR merge metrics
No merged PRs in 30d

Description

Calculation (extends "more info about this tool"):

We can compute the implicit $R_0$ from our doubling time inputs and our assumed duration of infectiousness $(1/\gamma)$. Since $R_0$ is the number of additional individuals infected by each infected individual when $I << S$, we can compute the growth rate $g$ as a function of $R_0$ and $\gamma$:
$$g = \gamma R_0 $$
From our previous equation for $g$, we can substitute and rearrange to find:
$$R_0 = (2^{1/T_d} - 1)/\gamma$$

So, for our $\gamma$ of 1/14 days, a doubling time of 4 days corresponds to an $R_0$ of 2.65.

Contributor guide

Open the contributing guide

Research direction

Start by locating the existing doubling-time input and calculation described in the issue. Determine where an R0 input would replace or complement that input, then verify that the model produces the stated relationship for gamma of 1/14 days and a four-day doubling time. Done means the supported input choice and resulting calculation are clear and validated.

Written by the indexing model from the issue text.

Assessment

Tech stack
python
Domain
backend
Issue type
Feature
Difficulty
5/5
Estimated time
Over a week
Activity status
Stale
Clarity
Needs clarification
Newbie friendliness
25/100

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