Posterior prediction, forecasting, and output handling tutorial
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- Dominant language
- Python
- Stars
- 29
- Forks
- 9
- Avg merge
- 9d 9h
- Merged PRs (30d)
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Description
We have some of these the above mixed in throughout the tutorials (e.g. https://cdcgov.github.io/PyRenew/tutorials/building_multisignal_models.html#running-the-model) but it would be good to have a dedicated tutorial with attention to
- Performing posterior prediction (especially for forecasting)
- Handling time and other axis dimensions when extracting posterior draws
- Using
arviz.extract()(and maybepolarbayes)?
Inspired by feedback from @confunguido and @KOVALW. Tagging @damonbayer and @cdc-mitzimorris for awareness.
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First steps
- Read the whole issue, then the project's contributing guide.
- Comment on the issue to say you are picking it up — it saves two people doing the same work.
- Fork the repository and make your change on a branch.
- Open a pull request that references the issue number.
Research direction
Start with tutorials/building_multisignal_models.html#running-the-model and review how the existing tutorials handle model output. Create a dedicated tutorial covering posterior prediction and forecasting, time and other axis dimensions when extracting draws, and arviz.extract() with polarbayes if appropriate. Done means the tutorial explains these workflows clearly with runnable examples.
Written by the indexing model from the issue text.
Assessment
- Tech stack
- python
- Domain
- documentation
- Issue type
- Documentation
- Difficulty
- 3/5
- Estimated time
- 1-2 days
- Activity status
- Active
- Clarity
- Mostly clear
- Newbie friendliness
- 68/100