jaberg / jaberg/planzero

Support uncertainty in timeseries values

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Description

It has come up in the first post on scenario modelling, that support for uncertainty in modelling assumptions and timeseries values would be good. I'll keep a running table here of use cases before implementing a solution. There are a lot of ways this could be done I expect, and various pros cons (e.g. tracking upper and lower bounds, Z values, arbitrary probability distributions per timeseries value, a distribution family per timeseries with different parameters per value element, temporal uncertainty vs. value uncertainty, just using Pint's Measurement object, whatever it does)

Use cases:

  • BovaerMonitoring: guessing costs of administrative overhead and on-site inspection

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First steps

  1. Read the whole issue, then the project's contributing guide.
  2. Comment on the issue to say you are picking it up — it saves two people doing the same work.
  3. Fork the repository and make your change on a branch.
  4. Open a pull request that references the issue number.

Research direction

No files, tests, or entry points are named. Start by reviewing the scenario-modelling context and the BovaerMonitoring use case, then compare the uncertainty approaches listed in the issue; done requires an agreed design for representing uncertainty in modelling assumptions and timeseries values.

Written by the indexing model from the issue text.

Assessment

Domain
data
Issue type
Feature
Difficulty
5/5
Estimated time
Over a week
Activity status
Quiet
Clarity
Needs clarification
Newbie friendliness
25/100

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