jaberg / jaberg/planzero

Review CO2e model, replicate Sathre 2014, post to explain why flaring is better than venting

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Description

https://www.rogersathre.com/Sathre_2014_comparing_heat_combustion_GHGs.pdf

A quick look at my CO2e post http://127.0.0.1:8012/blog/2026-01-21-unfccc suggests that 1Mt worth of CO2e in the form of methane results in total cumulative heat of about 1000 TJ, whereas Gemini estimates burning it releases 2000 TJ. This seems wrong, because venting is widely considered far worse than flaring, on the order of 100x to 1000x.

The model I'm using for CO2e was built on a lot of assumptions from Gemini, but the model looks like the one used by Sathre 2014... It looks like I'm off by a lot though? Or maybe the energy from combustion somehow escapes the planetary boundary?

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First steps

  1. Read the whole issue, then the project's contributing guide.
  2. Comment on the issue to say you are picking it up — it saves two people doing the same work.
  3. Fork the repository and make your change on a branch.
  4. Open a pull request that references the issue number.

Research direction

Start with the linked Sathre 2014 PDF and the CO2e post at the referenced local URL, then locate the model and assumptions used to produce the methane comparison. Reproduce the venting and flaring calculations, reconcile them with Sathre 2014, and document the explanation in a post once the discrepancy is understood.

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Assessment

Domain
data
Issue type
Bug
Difficulty
5/5
Estimated time
Over a week
Activity status
Stale
Clarity
Needs clarification
Newbie friendliness
25/100

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