`auto shipit --dry-run` gives different results than `auto shipit` without `--dry-run`

We have a GitHub workflow that runs `auto shipit --dry-run --quiet` and captures the output in order to determine if `auto` is about to make a release; if it is, we run various custom steps before actually releasing with `auto shipit -vv`. However, our most recent attempt at a release failed because, although the `--dry-run` command output a new version, the final `auto shipit` command determined that no release was due. The relevant workflow logs can be downloaded [here](https://github.com/intuit/auto/files/9536678/7_Create.release.txt).