climate-analytics-lab / climate-analytics-lab/ClimateBench2
Tier II: Rate of global warming
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Description
## Description
Evaluate the modeled rate of global warming against observations.
## Specification
- Compare ensemble distribution of global-mean surface temperature trends over:
- Test period (2015–present)
- Full historical period (1950–present)
- Use CRPS for probabilistic comparison
- Collect ECS and TCR as metadata (not scored)
## Observational datasets
NASA GISS, Berkeley Earth, HadCRUT
## Required simulations
historical (updated), ≥3 ensemble members
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