cleodora-forecasting / cleodora-forecasting/cleodora

[Idea] Calibration graphs

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Dominant language
Go
Stars
24
Forks
1
PR merge metrics
No merged PRs in 30d

Description

e.g. display how often outcomes that were predicted as 80% actually resolved as correct. With perfect calibration it would be 80%.

Ideally it should be possible to dynamically choose which probability intervals to use and limit to specific categories.

Contributor guide

Open the contributing guide

Research direction

No files, tests, or entry points are named in the issue. Start by locating the existing forecast visualization and the data paths for outcomes, probability intervals, and categories. Done means a calibration graph compares predicted probabilities with observed correctness and supports selecting intervals and limiting results to categories.

Written by the indexing model from the issue text.

Assessment

Tech stack
go, react, typescript
Domain
analytics, data-visualization
Issue type
Feature
Difficulty
5/5
Estimated time
Over a week
Activity status
Stale
Clarity
Mostly clear
Newbie friendliness
25/100

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