Metaculus / Metaculus/forecasting-tools
Add a filter for num_active_forecasters_gte (withdrawls)
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- Dominant language
- Python
- Stars
- 79
- Forks
- 38
- Avg merge
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- Merged PRs (30d)
- 12
Description
Add a filter for num_active_forecasters_gte. This accounts for forecasts that are not withdrawn, and is better than filtering by total forecasters. Pull the latest recency weighted CP data point, and grab the forecaster count from this.
Contributor guide
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First steps
- Read the whole issue, then the project's contributing guide.
- Comment on the issue to say you are picking it up — it saves two people doing the same work.
- Fork the repository and make your change on a branch.
- Open a pull request that references the issue number.
Research direction
Start by locating the existing filters for forecaster counts and the code that retrieves recency-weighted CP data points. Use the latest recency-weighted CP data point to obtain the non-withdrawn forecaster count, then verify that the new num_active_forecasters_gte filter behaves as described.
Written by the indexing model from the issue text.
Assessment
- Tech stack
- python
- Domain
- data
- Issue type
- Feature
- Difficulty
- 3/5
- Estimated time
- 1-2 days
- Activity status
- Stale
- Clarity
- Mostly clear
- Newbie friendliness
- 45/100